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Arie Scherson · @ariesnotebook

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Prediction Markets

From x.com/ariesnotebook

My captured posts about prediction markets are brief reactions to other people’s posts; they do not establish that I built or planned to build a prediction bot, or explain what I was affirming.

On January 4, 2026, I shared @AzFlin’s post, “hey claude write me a polymarket prediction bot https://t.co/dgRuxEPDJg”, and added 🤣. The quoted request was @AzFlin’s, not mine; I did not say I had built or intended to build a bot.

On July 21, 2026, I wrote “True” alongside a quoted post from @cwkdotone that mentioned @Polymarket and included a link. The capture does not show what claim I was affirming or what the link contained. These posts offer only limited context for my reactions to prediction markets, including the election-related discussion in election season and prediction markets.

Related: election season and prediction markets, ai funding mania, memecoin pumps and dumps