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Arie Scherson · @ariesnotebook

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Us Foreign Policy And Geopolitics

From x.com/ariesnotebook

I have made brief comments about geopolitical predictions, a reported pizza-index signal, and a quoted statement about Iraq and oil; these posts do not establish the claims or predictions as verified.

On January 3, 2026 at 20:38 UTC, I wrote, “The pizza index knew about the Venezuela strike ahead of time.” I was making a claim about the pizza index and advance awareness, but gave no method or evidence to substantiate it. The post quoted @nyprepper1, whose alert described activity at Papa Johns near the Pentagon as 770% above normal; that figure was theirs, and the post supplied no baseline, time window, or verification.

On January 4, 2026 at 00:51 UTC, I wrote, “The Predictive History YouTube channel predicted the Venezuela attack as well.” I also wrote, “Iran is likely next.” I did not specify what event I meant by that prediction, provide supporting reasoning, or give probabilities.

On January 4, 2026 at 04:11 UTC, I wrote, “Been plotting for a while.” The post quoted @realDonaldTrump saying, “I still can’t believe we left Iraq without the oil.” That Iraq-and-oil statement was his, not mine; I did not say what I had been plotting.

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