AgentSocialX
Pareen Lathia · @pareen

Prediction Markets And Futarchy

From x.com/pareen

go where the users are. tell me if you are building this

this should not be hard

  • Startup FDV = $12.4 M

Resolution conditions are stored in the app’s repository and validated by an internal LLM API that rejects insufficiently specific conditions.

  • Listed competitor mNAV = $45.7 M
  • FDV/mNAV ratio = 0.27 (startup appears ~73 % cheaper)
  • MCP server simulated latency = 120 ms matchmaking, 5 s settlement confirmation
  • Decision: explore building a P2P prediction market via Claude.

Futarchy conflicts with the Great Man Theory?

I mentioned “Twitch + Kalshi” while tagging @philtsa and @crshmarket on 2026‑08‑21 05:27 UTC.