In early October 2026 I also posted a series of short X threads that highlighted longer‑term decade performance for the biggest growth assets, macro‑level AI spending prospects, and several headline‑grabbing economic stats.
NVIDIA $NVDA rose +13,817% over the past 10 years.
Bitcoin $BTC rose +13,793% over the past 10 years.
Projected AI‑infrastructure spending will average 3.6% of US GDP in coming years.
US gasoline price hit $4.41 per gallon, up 40% YoY – the highest October level on record.
Cleveland Fed September CPI forecast is 3.6%, marking the 67th consecutive month above the 2% target.
US unemployment has stayed below 5% for 61 months – the second‑longest streak in history.
The US yield curve has been inverted for 4 years, with recession still pending.
Warren Buffett said, “If you mix politics with your investment decisions, you’re making a big mistake.”
In October 2026 I posted a market‑focused thread that captured the sharp sector spread, war‑driven commodity inflation, housing market stress, record‑high yields, extreme equity concentration, and a massive AI‑capex surge. Below I record the key numbers and my takeaways.
The best‑vs‑worst S&P 500 sector spread was a staggering 56 %, with Energy ($XLE) up +51 % and Consumer Discretionary ($XLY) down ‑5 %.
Since the start of the Iran war European Natural Gas prices jumped +163 %.
Over 14 % of U.S. home purchases were cancelled in September, the highest September cancellation rate on record.
Home sellers now outnumber buyers by more than 560 k (a 58 % surplus), the largest gap since 2013.
There are over 1.16 million homes for sale in the U.S., the highest inventory level since 2019.
42 % of FHA buyers used down‑payment assistance last year, a record‑high share.
The median age of first‑time homebuyers rose to 40, up from 31 a decade ago.
The 10‑yr Treasury nominal yield reached 5.31 %, the highest since 2002, and the real yield matched at 5.31 % – the highest real yield since 2008.
30‑yr Treasury‑inflation‑protected bonds offered a 3.37 % yield above inflation, the highest real yield in over 20 years.
SpaceX’s price‑to‑sales ratio hit 103×, far above the S&P 500 average of 3.5×.
AI‑related capex by Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle jumped from $412 B in 2025 to $789 B in 2026 – a 92 % year‑over‑year increase.
The top 0.1 % of U.S. households now own 15 % of total wealth, a record high.
I concluded that “TINA is dead.”