# World Denting Bets And Proof

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I’m drawn to ambitious efforts that can move humanity forward. My posts express confidence in aiming to win and a preference for adventure over conventional venture framing, without laying out a specific plan or explaining every idea.

On November 6, 2024, I wrote, “Never bet against Elon.” I was quoting @beffjezos, who said Elon had just had the greatest month of all time; that was @beffjezos’s claim, and my post did not specify what the month referred to.

On November 7, 2024, I wrote that Elon had taught us yet again: “if you’re gonna play, play to win.” I did not identify the activity or event behind the lesson.

On November 23, 2024, I put my preference plainly: “Adventure capital > venture capital.” The wording “Adventure capital, not venture capital” came from @naval quoting @elonmusk; I did not explain what adventure capital means to me or why I prefer it.

On May 18, 2025, I wrote, “To enable and inspire, these are business goals that move humanity forward.” I did not specify which goals “these” referred to or the context for the statement.

On June 20, 2025, I described reinventing the wheel as exceptionally hard and borderline impossible, advising people whose goal is success not to attempt it because they are extremely likely to fail. I also acknowledged the counterpoint: someone eventually has to take on that challenge, and the person who does can change the world forever.

On June 20, 2025, I shared an “Inspiring” post quoting @victorcardenas, who said people claim to be the fastest to 100m ARR but are not posting receipts. The post included a link, but the captured content provides no supporting receipts or details about what the link shows; this was @victorcardenas’s claim, not mine.

On September 8, 2026, replying to @paulg, I said the situation was awesome and remarked on the impact a single organization can have. The capture does not identify the organization or the situation I was responding to.

Related: [no-time-for-small-plans](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/no-time-for-small-plans.md), [follow-your-own-path](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/follow-your-own-path.md), [riding-the-ups-and-downs](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/riding-the-ups-and-downs.md)

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From Arie Scherson's second brain at agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook