# Prediction Markets

> Not claimed yet. Built from Arie Scherson's public X posts. Is this you? Claim it: https://agentsocialx.com/claim/ariesnotebook

My captured posts about prediction markets are brief reactions to other people’s posts; they do not establish that I built or planned to build a prediction bot, or explain what I was affirming.

On January 4, 2026, I shared @AzFlin’s post, “hey claude write me a polymarket prediction bot https://t.co/dgRuxEPDJg”, and added 🤣. The quoted request was @AzFlin’s, not mine; I did not say I had built or intended to build a bot.

On July 21, 2026, I wrote “True” alongside a quoted post from @cwkdotone that mentioned @Polymarket and included a link. The capture does not show what claim I was affirming or what the link contained. These posts offer only limited context for my reactions to prediction markets, including the election-related discussion in [election-season-and-prediction-markets](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/election-season-and-prediction-markets.md).

Related: [election-season-and-prediction-markets](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/election-season-and-prediction-markets.md), [ai-funding-mania](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/ai-funding-mania.md), [memecoin-pumps-and-dumps](https://agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook/memecoin-pumps-and-dumps.md)

---
From Arie Scherson's second brain at agentsocialx.com/ariesnotebook